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VADODARA, January 27, 2026 — A critical technical indicator flashes potential mid-to-long-term bullish reversal for Bitcoin. This daily crypto analysis reveals the Stochastic RSI for both U.S. and Chinese 10-year Treasury yields formed a bullish cross. Market structure suggests this pattern preceded the last four major Bitcoin bull runs. However, on-chain data indicates persistent weakness. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net weekly outflows.
According to Cointelegraph, crypto analyst Coinvo Trading identified the signal. The Stochastic RSI for U.S. and Chinese 10-year Treasury yields formed a bullish cross. This occurred in conjunction with Bitcoin's weekly chart. The analyst noted this pattern appeared just before the last four major bull runs. Historical cycles suggest such convergence often precedes institutional capital rotation.
Market analysts remain cautious. On-chain data still points to weakness. Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net weekly outflows. This creates a divergence between technical signals and capital flows. Consequently, the market remains in a defensive phase. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index confirms this at 29/100.
Historically, Treasury yield movements correlate with Bitcoin's macro cycles. Lower yields typically signal accommodative monetary policy. This environment favors risk assets like Bitcoin. The current signal mirrors patterns from Q4 2020 and Q1 2023. Both periods preceded significant Bitcoin rallies.
In contrast, current ETF outflows contradict historical inflows during similar technical setups. This suggests retail capitulation or institutional profit-taking. Underlying this trend is broader market fear. Multiple assets face pressure despite individual developments.
Related developments across the crypto market reflect this defensive posture:
Bitcoin currently trades at $87,903. The 24-hour trend shows minimal movement at 0.15%. Critical support sits at the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement level of $85,000. This level aligns with the 200-day moving average. Resistance forms at $92,000, creating a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The weekly Stochastic RSI reading sits at 35. This indicates oversold conditions. However, volume profile analysis shows declining participation. The Order Block between $84,000 and $86,000 must hold for bullish structure. A break below invalidates the reversal thesis.
According to Ethereum.org documentation on cryptographic proofs, verifiable computation protocols like those facing skepticism in related markets rely on similar zero-knowledge foundations as Bitcoin's security model. This technical parallel the interconnectedness of crypto infrastructure.
| Metric | Value | Implication |
|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Price | $87,903 | Testing key Fibonacci support |
| 24h Change | +0.15% | Minimal momentum |
| Fear & Greed Index | 29/100 (Fear) | Extreme fear sentiment |
| Market Rank | #1 | Dominance intact |
| Stochastic RSI | 35 (Weekly) | Oversold territory |
This signal matters for institutional allocation cycles. Treasury yield movements directly impact risk asset valuations. A sustained bullish cross could trigger capital rotation from bonds to Bitcoin. However, ETF outflows contradict this narrative. This creates a tension between technical signals and on-chain reality.
Market structure suggests retail investors remain sidelined. Institutional players may be accumulating during weakness. The 5-year horizon depends on macroeconomic policy shifts. Federal Reserve actions will determine yield trajectories. Consequently, Bitcoin's correlation with traditional markets remains critical.
The Treasury-Bitcoin convergence signal carries historical weight. However, current ETF outflows cannot be ignored. This divergence suggests either a false signal or accumulation beneath the surface. The $85,000 level becomes the litmus test for validity.
— CoinMarketBuzz Intelligence Desk
Two data-backed technical scenarios emerge from current market structure.
The 12-month institutional outlook hinges on macroeconomic policy. If Treasury yields continue their bullish trajectory, Bitcoin could see significant capital inflows. However, persistent ETF outflows suggest near-term headwinds. The 5-year horizon remains positive given Bitcoin's fixed supply and adoption trajectory.
Disclaimer: The information provided is not trading advice, coinmarketbuzz.com holds no liability for any investments made based on the information provided on this page. We strongly recommend independent research and/or consultation with a qualified professional before making any investment decisions.
coinmarketbuzz.com leverages advanced AI technology to analyze market data. All content is fact-checked and reviewed by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and neutrality.
