CertiK Reports $3.35B Web3 Security Losses: Daily Crypto Analysis

• CertiK's annual report reveals $3.35 billion in Web3 security losses for 2025.
• Supply chain attacks account for $1.45 billion, nearly half the total.
• Hackers shift focus from individual protocols to core infrastructure, creating systemic risk.
• AI-powered phishing emerges as a growing threat vector.

VADODARA, December 24, 2025 — Global Web3 security firm CertiK has reported $3.35 billion in losses from security incidents this year, according to its annual report. This daily crypto analysis examines the structural implications for market liquidity and investor confidence. The data arrives as Bitcoin trades at $87,194, down 1.21% in 24 hours, with global crypto sentiment at "Extreme Fear" (score: 24/100).

Market Context & Background

This report mirrors the escalating security challenges of 2024, where losses exceeded $2 billion. Market structure suggests a persistent liquidity grab by malicious actors, exploiting systemic vulnerabilities rather than isolated flaws. The shift toward supply chain attacks indicates a maturation of hacker strategies—targeting foundational services creates cascading failures across multiple protocols. Historical patterns show such incidents often precede volatility spikes, as seen during the 2022 bear market following major exchange hacks. The current "Extreme Fear" sentiment reflects this underlying anxiety, potentially creating a Fair Value Gap (FVG) if confidence erodes further.

Related developments highlight ongoing market stresses: Trend Research's $130 million ETH purchase amid losses, OKX delisting tokens due to liquidity concerns, large BTC movements linked to political entities, and regulatory actions against fraud.

What Happened?

CertiK's analysis, detailed in its annual report, quantifies total losses at $3.35 billion for 2025. Supply chain attacks represent the largest category, accounting for $1.45 billion—approximately 43% of the total. The firm cites the Bybit hack in February as a prime example, where compromised infrastructure led to widespread asset drainage. Hackers are increasingly targeting core services and infrastructure supply chains common to multiple companies, rather than searching for vulnerabilities in individual protocols or smart contracts. This strategy amplifies systemic risk, enabling single incidents to inflict extensive damage. CertiK also warned users about AI-generated phishing sites and messages, noting their rising sophistication.

Technical Analysis & Price Action

Bitcoin's current price of $87,194 sits below its 50-day moving average, indicating short-term bearish pressure. The RSI hovers near 40, suggesting oversold conditions but not yet extreme. Key support levels cluster around $85,000 (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement from recent highs) and $82,000 (volume profile point of control). Resistance looms at $90,000 (psychological level) and $92,000 (previous order block). Market structure suggests a potential liquidity grab below $85,000 could trigger a gamma squeeze if derivatives positions unwind. Bullish invalidation: A break below $82,000 would signal deeper correction. Bearish invalidation: A sustained move above $92,000 would negate the downtrend.

By The Numbers

Why It Matters

For institutions, these losses represent a direct hit to asset security and operational integrity. Systemic risks from supply chain attacks could delay adoption by regulated entities, as seen with traditional finance's compliance hurdles. The SEC may cite such data to justify stricter custody rules. For retail, the $3.35 billion figure erodes trust in decentralized systems, potentially driving capital toward centralized alternatives. AI-powered phishing adds a layer of psychological warfare, exploiting human error at scale. In the 5-year horizon, this trend could accelerate the development of zero-knowledge proofs and formal verification, as outlined in Ethereum's EIP-4844 upgrades for scalability and security.

Community Sentiment

Market analysts on X/Twitter highlight the structural implications. One quant noted, "Supply chain attacks are the new front line—this isn't about smart contract bugs anymore." Bulls argue that heightened security spending could boost specialized firms, while bears warn of a "trust deficit" slowing mainstream inflows. Sentiment remains polarized, with few expecting immediate regulatory relief.

Price Prediction / Future Outlook

Bullish Case: If security improvements gain traction, reduced hack frequency could restore confidence. Bitcoin might reclaim $92,000 and target $100,000 as fear subsides. Institutional inflows may resume, driven by perceived lower risk. Bullish invalidation: Failure to hold $85,000 support.

Bearish Case: Continued losses could exacerbate "Extreme Fear" sentiment, triggering a liquidity cascade. Bitcoin may test $82,000 or lower, with altcoins suffering disproportionately. Regulatory crackdowns might intensify, citing the $3.35 billion figure as justification. Bearish invalidation: A swift rebound above $90,000 with high volume.

FAQs

What are supply chain attacks in Web3? Attacks targeting core infrastructure or services used by multiple protocols, rather than individual smart contracts.

How does this affect Bitcoin's price? Security losses can dampen investor sentiment, increasing selling pressure and volatility.

What is CertiK's role in the crypto ecosystem? CertiK is a leading security firm that audits smart contracts and analyzes blockchain threats.

Are AI phishing attacks a new threat? Yes, AI-generated phishing sites and messages are becoming more sophisticated, making detection harder.

What can investors do to protect assets? Use hardware wallets, verify contract addresses, and monitor for unusual activity on-chain.

Source Note: Market data and factual reporting in this article are sourced from original reports. Commentary and analysis provided by CoinMarketBuzz.