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- Prediction market Kalshi launches Kalshi Research division to share market data for academic studies
- Company claims 40% higher accuracy than Wall Street inflation forecasts
- Launch occurs during "Extreme Fear" market sentiment (25/100) with Bitcoin at $88,069
- Market structure suggests potential liquidity grab below $87,500 support level
NEW YORK, December 22, 2025 — Prediction market platform Kalshi has launched its own research division, Kalshi Research, according to CryptoBriefing. This breaking crypto news comes as Bitcoin trades at $88,069 with a 24-hour decline of 0.23% amid "Extreme Fear" market conditions. Kalshi Research plans to support academic studies on prediction markets by sharing proprietary market data, leveraging the company's claimed 40% accuracy advantage over Wall Street inflation forecasts.
Prediction markets have gained institutional traction as alternative data sources. Kalshi's move mirrors traditional financial firms establishing research arms during volatile periods. The launch coincides with regulatory uncertainty and market stress. Market structure suggests current conditions resemble the 2021 correction when prediction markets gained prominence. Related developments include recent regulatory shifts, such as the CFTC chair signaling congressional readiness for crypto legislation and White House advisers discussing SEC-CFTC collaboration.
Kalshi Research launched on December 22, 2025. The division will provide academic researchers access to Kalshi's prediction market data. According to CryptoBriefing, the company previously stated its prediction market demonstrated 40% greater accuracy than Wall Street inflation forecasts. No specific executives were quoted in the announcement. The timing aligns with Bitcoin testing key technical levels and global crypto sentiment registering "Extreme Fear" at 25/100 on the Fear & Greed Index.
Bitcoin currently trades at $88,069. The 50-day moving average sits at $89,200, creating immediate resistance. RSI reads 42, indicating neutral momentum with bearish bias. Volume profile shows accumulation between $86,000 and $88,500. A Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between $89,500 and $90,200. Market structure suggests potential liquidity grab below the $87,500 support level. Bullish invalidation: Break below $86,000 would invalidate current support structure. Bearish invalidation: Close above $90,500 would negate immediate downside pressure.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Bitcoin Price | $88,069 |
| 24-Hour Change | -0.23% |
| Fear & Greed Index | 25/100 (Extreme Fear) |
| Kalshi Forecast Accuracy Advantage | 40% over Wall Street |
| Bitcoin 50-Day MA | $89,200 |
Institutional impact: Kalshi's data sharing could improve prediction market credibility as alternative data sources. Academic validation might attract institutional capital. Retail impact: Enhanced market efficiency could affect trading strategies. The 40% accuracy claim challenges traditional forecasting methods. Market structure suggests this development could influence volatility expectations during regulatory uncertainty periods.
Market analysts note the timing during "Extreme Fear" conditions. Some bulls argue prediction market data could improve risk management. Others question whether academic access will translate to trading advantages. No specific industry leader quotes were available in source material. On-chain data indicates continued institutional accumulation despite sentiment metrics.
Bullish case: If Kalshi's data validates prediction market superiority, institutional adoption could increase. Bitcoin reclaims $90,500 resistance, targeting $92,000. Market structure suggests potential gamma squeeze above $91,000. Bearish case: If academic studies reveal prediction market limitations, credibility suffers. Bitcoin breaks $86,000 support, testing $84,500 Fibonacci level. Liquidity grab below $85,000 could trigger further declines.
What is Kalshi Research?Kalshi Research is a new division of prediction market platform Kalshi that will share market data with academic researchers.
How accurate are Kalshi's predictions?The company claims 40% greater accuracy than Wall Street inflation forecasts, though independent verification is pending.
Why does this matter for cryptocurrency markets?Prediction market data could improve market efficiency and risk assessment during volatile periods.
What is the current Bitcoin price and sentiment?Bitcoin trades at $88,069 with "Extreme Fear" sentiment (25/100 on Fear & Greed Index).
How does this relate to crypto regulation?The launch occurs amid ongoing regulatory discussions, including potential congressional crypto legislation.
Data source: Read Original Report
Source Note: Market data and factual reporting in this article are sourced from original reports. Commentary and analysis provided by CoinMarketBuzz.
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